McKinsey Global Institute, 2021The Future of Work after COVID-19
Average credibility?Composite credibility score, weighted blend of Specificity, Accuracy, and Calibration. Higher means more credible.
48/ 100
Verdict breakdown
- Evaluated
- 5
Predictions
- 01
20 to 25 percent of workers in advanced economies could work from home three to five days a week on a long-term basis after the pandemic, which is four to five times the pre-pandemic level.
- 02
About 10 percent of workers in emerging economies could work from home three to five days a week on a long-term basis after the pandemic.
- 03
The growth in e-commerce and the 'delivery economy,' which was two to five times faster in 2020 than before the pandemic, is likely to continue after the pandemic.
- 04
More than 100 million workers in eight focus countries may need to switch occupations by 2030, a 12 percent increase compared to pre-pandemic estimates overall and as much as 25 percent more in advanced economies.
- 05
The share of employment in low-wage occupations may decline by 2030 for the first time, even as high-wage occupations in healthcare and STEM professions continue to expand.