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Featured · Sequoia · 2023

Generative AI's Act Two

Average credibility 57/100 across 3 of 3 predictions.

Mixed evidence

Credibility

57

/ 100

Featured trends

Sequoia, 2023

The generative AI market is entering 'Act 2,' which will shift from technology-driven novelty apps to customer-back solutions that solve human problems end-to-end.

67/100

MIXED

Sequoia, 2023

The generative AI market is entering 'Act 2,' which will shift from technology-driven novelty apps to customer-back solutions that solve human problems end-to-end.

We now believe the market is entering 'Act 2'—which will be from the customer-back. Act 2 will solve human problems end-to-end.

Sequoia, 2023

Data moats for generative AI startups are on shaky ground; future generations of foundation models may obliterate any data advantages startups currently build.

42/100

MIXED

Sequoia, 2023

Data moats for generative AI startups are on shaky ground; future generations of foundation models may obliterate any data advantages startups currently build.

the next generations of foundation models may very well obliterate any data moats that startups generate

Sequoia, 2023

Generative AI applications are expected to progressively move from level 0 to level 5 autonomy, becoming increasingly agentic and capable of solving problems end-to-end.

61/100

MIXED

Sequoia, 2023

Generative AI applications are expected to progressively move from level 0 to level 5 autonomy, becoming increasingly agentic and capable of solving problems end-to-end.

We are steadily progressing from level 0 to level 5 autonomy.

Applaud, 2023

Businesses will be working harder than ever to hold onto their A-players and up-skill their existing workforce in 2023 amid precarious market conditions.

64/100

MIXED

Applaud, 2023

Businesses will be working harder than ever to hold onto their A-players and up-skill their existing workforce in 2023 amid precarious market conditions.

Applaud, 2023

Growth in hybrid, contract and gig workers looks set to continue as a reaction to market conditions, requiring business structures to flex to accommodate this style of employment.

65/100

MIXED

Applaud, 2023

Growth in hybrid, contract and gig workers looks set to continue as a reaction to market conditions, requiring business structures to flex to accommodate this style of employment.

Applaud, 2023

AI will be used to do the heavy lifting and suggest HR innovations based on trends and patterns that help achieve key business goals.

64/100

MIXED

Applaud, 2023

AI will be used to do the heavy lifting and suggest HR innovations based on trends and patterns that help achieve key business goals.

Applaud, 2023

Managers will see personalized interfaces that alert them to important information—such as when team members have been working too many hours—to prompt wellbeing conversations.

56/100

MIXED

Applaud, 2023

Managers will see personalized interfaces that alert them to important information—such as when team members have been working too many hours—to prompt wellbeing conversations.

McKinsey Global Institute, 2021

20 to 25 percent of workers in advanced economies could work from home three to five days a week on a long-term basis after the pandemic, which is four to five times the pre-pandemic level.

41/100

MIXED

McKinsey Global Institute, 2021

20 to 25 percent of workers in advanced economies could work from home three to five days a week on a long-term basis after the pandemic, which is four to five times the pre-pandemic level.

McKinsey Global Institute, 2021

About 10 percent of workers in emerging economies could work from home three to five days a week on a long-term basis after the pandemic.

42/100

MIXED

McKinsey Global Institute, 2021

About 10 percent of workers in emerging economies could work from home three to five days a week on a long-term basis after the pandemic.

McKinsey Global Institute, 2021

The growth in e-commerce and the 'delivery economy,' which was two to five times faster in 2020 than before the pandemic, is likely to continue after the pandemic.

61/100

MIXED

McKinsey Global Institute, 2021

The growth in e-commerce and the 'delivery economy,' which was two to five times faster in 2020 than before the pandemic, is likely to continue after the pandemic.

McKinsey Global Institute, 2021

More than 100 million workers in eight focus countries may need to switch occupations by 2030, a 12 percent increase compared to pre-pandemic estimates overall and as much as 25 percent more in advanced economies.

53/100

MIXED

McKinsey Global Institute, 2021

More than 100 million workers in eight focus countries may need to switch occupations by 2030, a 12 percent increase compared to pre-pandemic estimates overall and as much as 25 percent more in advanced economies.

McKinsey Global Institute, 2021

The share of employment in low-wage occupations may decline by 2030 for the first time, even as high-wage occupations in healthcare and STEM professions continue to expand.

42/100

MIXED

McKinsey Global Institute, 2021

The share of employment in low-wage occupations may decline by 2030 for the first time, even as high-wage occupations in healthcare and STEM professions continue to expand.

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